Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.