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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Dec 19, 2020 at 5am UK
Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Oita Trinita

Koyamatsu (49'), Hayashi (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watari (32'), Machida (78')
Nomura (83'), Isa (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Oita Trinita.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawOita Trinita
38.12%27.63%34.25%
Both teams to score 48.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06%56.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15%77.85%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2%64.8%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67%31.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31%67.69%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 38.12%
    Oita Trinita 34.24%
    Draw 27.62%
Sagan TosuDrawOita Trinita
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.12%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.24%

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