Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
52.26% ( 0.1)	23.7% ( -0.04)	24.04% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9% (

0.13)

46.1% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6% (

0.12)

68.4% (

-0.12)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.09)

17.62% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.78% (

0.15)

48.22% (

-0.15)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

0.02)

33.29% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

0.02)

69.91% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 52.25%

Shonan Bellmare 24.04%

Draw 23.69%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.25%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.04%