SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
35.31% ( -2.03) | 26.05% ( 0.29) | 38.63% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -1.36) | 50.49% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -1.21) | 72.41% ( 1.21) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -1.81) | 27.49% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -2.4) | 62.99% ( 2.4) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.33) | 25.59% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( 0.45) | 60.47% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.63% |
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