Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.06) 
