SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
44.79% ( 0.21) | 25.58% ( -0.06) | 29.64% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0.18) | 50.11% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.16) | 72.08% ( -0.16) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.18) | 22.33% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.19% ( 0.26) | 55.81% ( -0.26) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.02) | 31.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.02) | 67.33% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.64% |
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