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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Sep 16, 2023 at 10am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
1 - 0
Cerezo

Suzuki (13')
Iwamasa (27'), Kakita (59'), Arthur (75'), Sugai (90+6')
Pituca (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Capixaba (45+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawCerezo Osaka
45.73% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 27.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.8% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)58.74% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)79.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)25.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)60.56% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 45.73%
    Cerezo Osaka 26.8%
    Draw 27.46%
Kashima AntlersDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 26 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 19 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 19 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Consadole
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 26 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Cerezo
Friday, July 28 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1


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