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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 23, 2023 at 11am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
1 - 0
Cerezo

Sasaki (59')
Ide (33'), Sakai (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shibayama (77'), Toriumi (86'), Shindo (90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 16 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawCerezo Osaka
41.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)47.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)27.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (0.012 0.01)63.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 41.64%
    Cerezo Osaka 33%
    Draw 25.35%
Vissel KobeDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 26 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League


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