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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Uejo (9', 71'), Kitano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morishita (12')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Friday, August 18 at 11.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
39.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 27.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (0.012 0.01)56.45% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.018999999999991 0.02)27.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 39.43%
    Nagoya Grampus 33.11%
    Draw 27.45%
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.43%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama FC 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, August 20 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Cerezo
Friday, July 28 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Friday, August 18 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League


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