Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
39.43% ( 0.02)	27.45% ( -0)	33.11% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

0.01)

56.45% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

0.01)

77.45% (

-0.01)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

0.02)

27.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

0.02)

63.56% (

-0.02)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.01)

31.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.01)

68.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 39.43%

Nagoya Grampus 33.11%

Draw 27.45%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.43%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.11%