Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
26.38% | 29.62% | 43.99% |
Both teams to score 40.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.19% | 65.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.55% | 84.45% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.8% | 42.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.4% | 78.6% |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% | 29.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% | 66.05% |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.35% 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.38% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 12.63% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 15.23% 0-2 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.11% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.99% |
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