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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 15, 2021 at 10am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Shonan Bellmare

Min-tae (74')
Yonemoto (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oiwa (57'), Hata (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawShonan Bellmare
52.52%26.8%20.68%
Both teams to score 42.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.06%60.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05%80.95%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03%44.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09%80.91%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 52.52%
    Shonan Bellmare 20.68%
    Draw 26.79%
Nagoya GrampusDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 15.29%
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.29%
4-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.68%

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