Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.