Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.