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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Sep 16, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Consadole


Miya (5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Komai (61'), Lopes (66')
Suga (34'), Kaneko (87')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Consadole Sapporo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawConsadole Sapporo
36.16%26.69%37.14%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88%53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3%74.69%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05%63.95%
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34%27.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79%63.21%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 36.16%
    Consadole Sapporo 37.13%
    Draw 26.69%
Sagan TosuDrawConsadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.13%


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