Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
