Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.