Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.