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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 2, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
3 - 0
Jubilo Iwata

Araki (22'), Sasaki (63'), Morishima (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yamamoto (11'), Yoshinaga (16'), Uehara (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
61.73% (-1.457 -1.46) 23.24% (0.684 0.68) 15.03% (0.771 0.77)
Both teams to score 41.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (-1.158 -1.16)55.92% (1.155 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (-0.95 -0.95)77.02% (0.947 0.95)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.928 -0.93)17.78% (0.926 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-1.625 -1.63)48.48% (1.622 1.62)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.98% (0.428 0.43)49.02% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.03% (0.305 0.31)83.96% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61.72%
    Jubilo Iwata 15.03%
    Draw 23.24%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 15.05% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 12.99% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.259 -0.26)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 61.72%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.381 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.24%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.345 0.35)
1-2 @ 3.83% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Hiroshima
Wednesday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 25 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, May 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Hiroshima
Friday, May 13 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, June 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Yokohama
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Jubilo Iwata
Wednesday, May 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Consadole
Sunday, May 22 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League


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