Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
-1.83) 
0.81) 
