Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
