Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
