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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 at 10am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Nishizawa (7'), Thiago (41'), Kololli (85')
Katayama (48'), Thiago (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yamagishi (80')
Grolli (13'), Juanma (29')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawAvispa Fukuoka
49.48% (3.512 3.51) 26.77% (-1.708 -1.71) 23.75% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 45.55% (2.866 2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69% (4.469 4.47)58.31% (-4.468 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07% (3.376 3.38)78.93% (-3.373 -3.37)
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (3.737 3.74)23.68% (-3.736 -3.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (5.101 5.1)57.79% (-5.098 -5.1)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (0.875 0.88)40.32% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.786 0.79)76.94% (-0.78399999999999 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 49.48%
    Avispa Fukuoka 23.75%
    Draw 26.77%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9% (0.611 0.61)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.678 0.68)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.703 0.7)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.358 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.393 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.385 0.39)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-1.742 -1.74)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.368 0.37)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-1.338 -1.34)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.503 -0.5)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Reysol 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, May 29 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-4 Shimizu S-Pulse
Tuesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Yokohama
Saturday, May 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 14 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 5-1 FC Tokyo
Tuesday, May 3 at 9am in J1 League


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