Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
49.53% ( 0.04)	24.78% ( -0.02)	25.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

0.08)

49.27% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67% (

0.07)

71.33% (

-0.07)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

0.05)

19.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

0.08)

52.05% (

-0.07)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37% (

0.03)

33.62% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

0.04)

70.27% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.53%

Kashiwa Reysol 25.68%

Draw 24.78%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.68%