SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
36.4% ( 1.32) | 27.49% ( -0.21) | 36.11% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.7% ( 0.83) | 56.3% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.67% ( 0.66) | 77.33% ( -0.67) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( 1.24) | 29.64% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.31% ( 1.48) | 65.69% ( -1.48) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.28) | 29.82% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.1% ( -0.33) | 65.9% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.11% |
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