Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.