Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Reysol

Hayashi (45' pen.), Harakawa (48')
Ryang (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Olunga (25')
Mihara (59'), Nakama (82'), Richardson (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
27.46%	26.79%	45.75%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.01%

55.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92%

77.08%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22%

35.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44%

72.55%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 27.46%

Kashiwa Reysol 45.74%

Draw 26.79%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.46%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.68% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.48% Total : 45.74%