Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
27.99% ( 0.03)	28.13% ( 0.04)	43.87% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.52% (

-0.11)

60.47% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.4% (

-0.09)

80.59% (

0.08)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

-0.04)

37.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

-0.04)

74.56% (

0.03)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

-0.09)

27.41% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.11% (

-0.12)

62.89% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 27.99%

Avispa Fukuoka 43.86%

Draw 28.12%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.99%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.86%