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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 at 6am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Avispa Fukuoka

Miyayoshi (21'), Murakami (53' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sato (19'), Tashiro (49'), Konno (52')
Yuzawa (16'), Konno (34'), Mae (34'), Tashiro (45')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
27.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 28.13% (0.038 0.04) 43.87% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-0.113 -0.11)60.47% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)80.59% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)37.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.038 -0.04)74.56% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)27.41% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-0.115 -0.12)62.89% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 27.99%
    Avispa Fukuoka 43.86%
    Draw 28.12%
Kyoto SangaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 13.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 43.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Friday, May 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League


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