Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
35.05% ( 0.13)	28.63% ( 0.01)	36.33% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.46% (

-0.04)

60.54% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.35% (

-0.03)

80.64% (

0.03)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35% (

0.06)

32.64% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

0.07)

69.19% (

-0.07)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-0.11)

31.81% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-0.13)

68.25% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 35.04%

Avispa Fukuoka 36.32%

Draw 28.62%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.32%