Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
