Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
22.88% ( 0.03)	27.78% ( 0.02)	49.35% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.75% (

-0.03)

62.25% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.08% (

-0.02)

81.92% (

0.02)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57% (

0.01)

43.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35% (

0.01)

79.65% (

-0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.04)

25.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

-0.05)

60.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 22.88%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.34%

Draw 27.78%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1% Other @ 1% Total : 22.88%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 15.13% 0-2 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 49.34%