Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.
0.43) 
-0.02) 
