J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 at 8am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
Result |
Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
30.75% ( -0.88) | 28.96% ( -0.19) | 40.29% ( 1.07) |
Both teams to score 44.19% ( 0.24) |
37.72% ( 0.42) | 62.29% ( -0.41) |
18.06% ( 0.31) | 81.95% ( -0.3) |
63.39% ( -0.43) | 36.61% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.6% ( -0.43) | 73.4% ( 0.44) |
69.72% ( 0.84) | 30.28% ( -0.84) |