Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
50.23% ( 0.06)	24.96% ( -0.04)	24.81% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.14)

50.68% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.12)

72.58% (

-0.12)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

0.08)

20.18% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

0.13)

52.48% (

-0.13)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

0.06)

35.12% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

0.06)

71.87% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 50.23%

Sagan Tosu 24.81%

Draw 24.96%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.23%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.81%