Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Vissel Kobe
32.21% ( -0.01)	26.95% ( 0.01)	40.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.41% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29% (

-0.05)

54.71% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

-0.05)

76.03% (

0.05)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

-0.03)

31.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

-0.04)

67.96% (

0.05)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

-0.02)

26.34% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

-0.03)

61.47% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 32.21%

Vissel Kobe 40.84%

Draw 26.95%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.84%