Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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