Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sagan Tosu
44.87% ( 0.06)	25.11% ( -0.02)	30.02% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

0.07)

47.93% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89% (

0.06)

70.11% (

-0.07)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.06)

21.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.64% (

0.09)

54.36% (

-0.1)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

29.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.01)

65.68% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 44.87%

Sagan Tosu 30.02%

Draw 25.1%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.87%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.02%