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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Kawasaki


Harada (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hino (87' og.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 2-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
24.11% (-0.496 -0.5) 22.93% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 52.96% (0.57100000000001 0.57)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.322 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.169 -0.17)42.62% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.17 -0.17)65.02% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.498 -0.5)31.33% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.586 -0.59)67.7% (0.589 0.59)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.14 0.14)16.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.254 0.25)45.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 24.11%
    Kawasaki Frontale 52.96%
    Draw 22.93%
Sagan TosuDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.11%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.94% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Reysol 2-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama FC
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Friday, October 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-2 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Pathum Utd 2-4 Kawasaki
Tuesday, October 24 at 1pm in AFC Champions League


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