SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
24.11% ( -0.5) | 22.93% ( -0.07) | 52.96% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.17) | 42.62% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.17) | 65.02% ( 0.17) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0.5) | 31.33% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( -0.59) | 67.7% ( 0.59) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 0.14) | 16.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( 0.25) | 45.51% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.96% |
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