Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
34.6%	25.54% ( -0.01)	39.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.65% (

0.04)

48.34% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.51% (

0.03)

70.49% (

-0.03)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

0.02)

26.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79% (

0.02)

62.21% (

-0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

0.02)

23.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

0.03)

58.21% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.6%

Cerezo Osaka 39.86%

Draw 25.54%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.6%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.86%