J1 League | Gameweek 22
Aug 5, 2023 at 11am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tagami (37'),
Ota (75'), Ko (85')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Albirex Niigata.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
42.36% ( 2.87) | 26.82% ( -0.55) | 30.82% ( -2.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 0.92) |
| 45.37% ( 1.52) | 54.63% ( -1.52) |
| 24.04% ( 1.25) | 75.96% ( -1.25) |
| 74.49% ( 2.25) | 25.5% ( -2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( 2.98) | 60.35% ( -2.98) |
| 67.5% ( -0.83) | 32.5% ( 0.83) |
