J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
We said: FC Tokyo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Despite the fresh optimism a new manager can bring, it is difficult to see Tokyo having enough quality to stop a Nagoya Grampus side that is firing on all cylinders at the moment.
Grampus have one of the best away records in the division for a reason, and we believe they will have too much quality for their opponents on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
33.7% ( -0.03) | 28.7% ( 0.01) | 37.6% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.02) |
| 39.11% ( -0.02) | 60.89% ( 0.02) |
| 19.09% ( -0.02) | 80.91% ( 0.02) |
| 66.27% ( -0.03) | 33.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.61% ( -0.04) | 70.39% ( 0.04) |
| 68.81% ( 0) | 31.19% ( -0) |
