J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)
We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season.
As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result |
Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
26.99% ( -0.41) | 28.53% ( -0.05) | 44.48% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 43.54% ( -0.13) |
37.79% ( -0.04) | 62.21% ( 0.03) |
18.11% ( -0.03) | 81.89% ( 0.03) |
60.4% ( -0.37) | 39.59% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% ( -0.34) | 76.28% ( 0.34) |
72.08% ( 0.22) | 27.92% ( -0.23) |