J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 8am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
We said: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus will be considered the favourites heading into this match due to their league positions and considering the recent form and the struggles Avispa Fukuoka have displayed on the road, it should lead to the hosts taking all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
50.15% ( -0.04) | 28.36% ( 0.03) | 21.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.39% ( -0.06) |
| 35% ( -0.09) | 65% ( 0.09) |
| 16.11% ( -0.06) | 83.89% ( 0.06) |
| 73.62% ( -0.06) | 26.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.47% ( -0.08) | 61.52% ( 0.09) |
| 53.5% ( -0.04) | 46.49% ( 0.04) |
