SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 21.23% | 27.83% | 50.93% |
| Both teams to score 40.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.34% | 63.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.06% | 82.94% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.3% | 81.7% |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% | 25.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.81% | 60.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.23% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 15.99% 0-2 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-3 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.97% Total : 50.92% |
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