Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
