Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.