Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
61.7% ( -1.6)	20.29% ( 0.65)	18.01% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

-1.4)

38.69% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.01% (

-1.49)

60.99% (

1.49)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.93% (

-0.85)

12.07% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4% (

-1.83)

37.6% (

1.83)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

0.21)

34.9% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

0.22)

71.64% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61.7%

Consadole Sapporo 18.01%

Draw 20.29%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.7%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 18.01%