SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
29.07% ( 0.24) | 24.28% ( -0.09) | 46.65% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( 0.53) | 44.77% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( 0.5) | 67.13% ( -0.5) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.43) | 28.7% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( 0.54) | 64.52% ( -0.53) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.15) | 19.32% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% ( 0.24) | 51.08% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.65% |
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