Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
21.92% ( -1.34)	22.9% ( -0.05)	55.18% ( 1.39)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.11% (

-1.3)

44.89% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

-1.26)

67.24% (

1.26)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

-1.94)

34.53% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-2.12)

71.24% (

2.11)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.02)

16.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.04)

45.57% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 21.92%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.18%

Draw 22.89%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.92%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.18%