J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
15.37% ( -1.56) | 24.18% ( -0.72) | 60.44% ( 2.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.24% ( -1.09) |
| 41.37% ( 0.25) | 58.62% ( -0.25) |
| 20.82% ( 0.19) | 79.18% ( -0.19) |
| 49.84% ( -1.97) | 50.16% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.23% ( -1.4) | 84.77% ( 1.4) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 80.74% ( 0.98) | 19.26% ( -0.98) |
