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J1 League | Gameweek 26
Aug 11, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 0
Cerezo

Arslan (78', 85')
Mitsuta (55'), Nakajima (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ceara (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawCerezo Osaka
42.33% (0.40900000000001 0.41) 25.83% (0.151 0.15) 31.83% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.703 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.814 -0.81)50.3% (0.817 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.729 -0.73)72.25% (0.72999999999999 0.73)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)23.59% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.224 -0.22)57.66% (0.226 0.23)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)29.6% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.953 -0.95)65.63% (0.955 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42.33%
    Cerezo Osaka 31.83%
    Draw 25.83%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.174 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-5 Stuttgart
Thursday, August 1 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Cerezo
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 30 at 10am in J1 League


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