J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
While Tokyo Verdy have had a solid season upon their return to the top flight, they have struggled against the bigger teams in the league and have already lost twice to their upcoming opponents this term.
Sanfrecce have only lost one match on the road all season and they will know that they need to keep winning games to remain within touching distance of the top three. We feel the visitors will manage to secure the points in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
16.04% ( 0) | 21.59% ( 0.01) | 62.37% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.02) |
| 52.07% ( -0.03) | 47.93% ( 0.03) |
| 29.89% ( -0.03) | 70.11% ( 0.03) |
| 57.18% ( -0.01) | 42.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.86% ( -0.01) | 79.14% ( 0.01) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 85.21% ( -0.01) | 14.79% ( 0.02) |
