J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
We said: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 FC Tokyo
Despite that fact that FC Tokyo have struggled for form of late, they have performed well away from home this season.
However, Bellmare's relatively good home form will no doubt make Saturday's clash an intriguing affair, and could be enough to stifle FC Tokyo's greater quality.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Tokyo in this match.
| Result |
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | FC Tokyo |
35.77% ( 0.02) | 26.01% ( 0) | 38.21% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.01) |
| 49.73% ( -0.01) | 50.26% ( 0.01) |
| 27.78% ( -0.01) | 72.21% ( 0.01) |
| 72.89% ( 0.01) | 27.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.51% ( 0.01) | 62.49% ( -0.02) |
| 74.28% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.02) |
