Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
-0.5) 
0.75) 
